By Walter Hurley
A FEW derivatives will arise as a consequence of the Movement for Democratic Change (MDC)’s courageously choosing to participate in the forthcoming election. While the MDC may well be sending themse
lves to a pre-rigged political slaughterhouse, the fact that they are participating will actually have significant benefits later.
Inevitably, South African President Thabo Mbeki’s true colours will be re-confirmed. Another benefit being that the polarisation of the already divided community will be exposed.
The voting populace can be apportioned into the following generalised categories:
*the desperadoes of self-serving evil demeanour as supported by the protected, and the looters, abetters, patronised benefactors together with their many state enabled party hacks;
*the cowardly disposed who under sufferance would benignly hope that divine or civilised intervention will become their saviours;
*the naïve and malleable who are more concerned about day to day survival than to realise that they have a responsible part to play in improving the national destiny; and
*those of intelligence, sanity, courage, moral fibre and integrity who want a better and more secure life for themselves.
Clearly the present establishment will ensure, by whatever means that is at their disposal, that they will not forfeit power because of the many consequences that such a loss would accrue to themselves.
The election outcome will likely initiate revised Western foreign policies towards certain African states.
While the latest clutch of patently indifferent Western diplomats have apparently got an advanced form of vocal paralysis, the certainty is that a future Zanu PF government will be further isolated internationally, and the economic nose-dive will continue unabated should the present regime secure power by foul means.
The economic implosion will naturally continue unabated. The assets of locals and internationals have been looted and scavenged to the bone to sustain the regime. Despite hallucinations to the contrary, the economy is now showing signs of serious morbid tremor. The time of a real reckoning is therefore fast approaching.
The nation is in desperate need of a meaningful political solution to again qualify to join and engage the international community.
A significant derivative before and after the election will be that Mbeki will increasingly be under the international spotlight.
Based on past performance, Mbeki will likely further expose the growing fissures between his extra-terrestrial misinterpretations of truth, democracy, reality, standards, international charters, human rights, media freedom, and good governance versus those similarly defined, understood and properly in effect in the civilised global community.
To be remembered is the fact that Mbeki’s general mission statement with respect to Zimbabwe is to gain acceptance by the international community for the Zanu PF regime. He has already been prised out of the closet to almost declare in advance that the election will be free and fair.
Many remember the shameless, but now obscure South African comrades who gave purported credibility to the 2000 parliamentary and 2002 presidential elections.
As a matter of political posthumous record, some of the then South African ANC prime architects who then enabled the longevity of Zanu PF have possibly attained their due desserts.
Tony Yengeni, former ANC chief whip, is now a convicted fraudster. He unreservedly endorsed the 2000 parliamentary election in Zimbabwe.
Businessman Sam Motsuenyane has perhaps understandably disappeared from public view. Few can forget the event in March 2002 when he had the international media collapsing in howls of derisive laughter when he pronounced that the election was “legitimate”.
South Africa’s Safety and Security minister Steve Tshwete, who was Mbeki’s representative during Zimbabwe’s presidential poll, died in April 2002.
In hindsight, it is clear that high-ranking members of the ANC government, starting with Mbeki, had earlier laid down guidelines to the Motsuenyane mission.The latest ANC “expendables” are the nominated head of the Sadc observer mission, Home Affairs minister Nosiviwe Mapisa-Nqakula. He will purportedly ascertain whether the Zimbabwean electoral process is in keeping with the Sadc electoral guidelines. Labour minister Membathisi Mdladlana is to lead the parliamentary national observer mission.
One could almost suggest that they are already busy fabricating an election report with imaginative wording.
There can be no debate regarding Mbeki’s attitude and blind sponsorship of the Zanu PF regime. Historical records speak for themselves.
His conspicuous support of global retrogression and evil can be seen from his “best-friends” list. The schedule of the “outposts of tyrannical states” has been published. What has yet to be formally recognised are the inter-meshed supporter nations that facilitate retroversion and despotism. Via their umbilical connections to evil regimes, these countries provide succor, moral and material support to pariah states.
Based on his conduct in Zimbabwe alone, Mbeki stands to lose support for Nepad and debt relief. He will also have to contend with escalated investment risk analysis ranking, and the cancellation or reduction of further aid programmes to retrogressive nations in Africa.
Beyond that, his aspirations to become a permanent member of the Security Council will certainly be vetoed. Nigerian President Olusegun Obasanjo is by far better qualified to play a more important role in African affairs.
*Walter Hurley is a South African-based writer.